‘Project Fear’: SAGE Scientists Warn of Third Wave if UK Scraps Lockdown
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UK government scientists have predicted that the gradual easing of lockdown restrictions could result in a “third wave” of the Chinese virus, despite admitting that it is “highly unlikely” that any further outbreak of the coronavirus would overwhelm the healthcare system.
Modelling conducted for the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE) has suggested that lockdown measures should remain in place longer than the planned reopening in June.The results of the research by Imperial College London stated that a third wave of the virus could hit the UK in the late summer or early autumn, which could see comparable hospitalisations to the second wave in January.
Further modelling from the Scientific Pandemic Influenza Group on Modelling, Operational sub-group (SPI-M-O) of the SAGE quango said that while there is a large degree of uncertainty about the impact of lifting lockdown measures, it is “highly likely” that the country will experience a “further resurgence in hospitalisations and deaths.”
The paper admitted, however, that it is “highly unlikely” that easing of restrictions would “put unsustainable pressure on the NHS.”
The government scientists called for a level of “baseline measures” to be left in effect, such as mask-wearing and social distancing requirements, in order to prevent future outbreaks.
Former chief scientific adviser, Professor Sir Mark Walport, said: “We’ve only got to look across the Channel and see that France currently has over 39,000 new cases a day, so the virus is still very much around and if we take all the brakes off, then it’s quite clear that there is a very substantial risk of a further wave of infection.”
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